It stands as a test of Bangladesh’s diplomatic agility, strategic independence, and ability to secure development gains while managing competitive pressures from two major powers in South Asia.

By Tanvir Rusmat, Dhaka, November 23, 2025

Bangladesh’s Teesta megaproject has rapidly evolved from a long-awaited river restoration plan into a central stage of South Asia’s geopolitical competition, as Dhaka navigates the increasingly complex strategic rivalry between China and India based on what is going on regarding the issu. What began as an urgent national priority- addressing dry-season water shortages, agricultural disruptions, and severe river erosion- has turned into a diplomatic balancing test for the interim government, according to experts.

Based on published reports, Dhaka has clarified that while it is considering China’s investment proposal, long-term basin cooperation with India remains strategically significant. Chinese Ambassador Yao Wen emphasized that any decision on the Teesta River project “must be respected” by all parties, highlighting Bangladesh’s sovereign authority over the initiative

China has expressed strong engagement in the project. Bangladesh has reportedly sought approximately US$ 550 million in loan support for the first phase, which China is “ready to assist” with if Dhaka decides to proceed according to news. A team of Chinese technical experts is expected soon, signaling the potential for alignment with China’s broader strategic investment pattern in the region reports says.

Environmental groups have demanded full transparency. The Bangladesh Poribesh Andolon (BAPA) and Bangladesh Environment Network (BEN) insist that a National Teesta Commission be formed and a complete project assessment made public.

According to the source they caution that the megaproject must not become a pawn in major-power competition or solely driven by commercial interests.

Planning Adviser Dr. Wahiduddin Mahmud, a key voice in government economic strategy, expressed measured concern. He noted that “there is still no feasibility study or detailed design,” emphasizing that a full assessment is essential before finalizing the plan as he was being quoted.

He also highlighted the importance of cooperation with India to ensure the project’s technical feasibility.

Geopolitical analysts observe that the Teesta megaproject presents both opportunity and vulnerability. While a shared model leveraging China’s technical capacity and India’s river-management experience could reduce bilateral tensions, inadequate diplomacy may intensify external pressure on Bangladesh1.

Observing all these movements it could said- ultimately, the Teesta megaproject now represents more than a river restoration effort. It stands as a test of Bangladesh’s diplomatic agility, strategic independence, and ability to secure development gains while managing competitive pressures from two major powers in South Asia. This analytical framing aligns with geopolitical commentary from regional analysts.